President Trump ONLY has 3 Options to end the Iran War.
After weeks of airstrikes, drone attacks, and rising tensions, the U.S. is staring at three brutal choices. Every path forward carries massive consequences:
Option 1: Walk Away
– Pull out and disengage from Iran
– Risk losing influence across the Middle East
– Israel forced to face Iran, Hezbollah, and regional proxies largely on its own
– Rivals like China and Russia interpret it as weakness
– Oil markets and global alliances shift fast
Option 2: Ground War
– Deploy U.S. troops into Iran
– A nation of ~90 million people with mountains, dense cities, and a capable military
– The U.S. spent 20 years in Afghanistan against a far smaller population
– A full invasion would be vastly more costly
– Huge risk of American casualties and another decades-long war
Option 3: Strategic Devastation
– Massive escalation, potentially including nuclear weapons
– Immediate global backlash
– Russia and China already warning against escalation
– Risk of triggering a wider world war
Reality: there’s no easy “win and go home” scenario here.
Every path carries serious global consequences — militarily, economically, and politically.
This could become one of the most consequential foreign policy decisions any modern president faces.
~ Josh Rincon
Exactly right. So why did Trump start the Iran War in the first place? The answer is fairly obvious. At the end of every Western World Reserve Currency Empire, the hegemonic state has two options.
- Continue to expand past a manageable sphere of influence. It becomes a catch-22. You need to continue to absorb the economies of vassal states, but at the same time the cost of doing so puts you in greater debt, which increases the need to absorb more vassal states. This has been the fatal flaw of every World Empire throughout history, but in the era of joint stock capitalism, it accelerates even more quickly toward the end. The core state of the Western Empire always has oligarchs that want to get rich off of speculation and dependence on foreign trade and production, rather than invest in the real sector domestic economy. In the end, they end up holding massive amounts of debt that can’t be paid off. So they push the central banks to issue more credit. They need more bond holders in foreign states and the continued confidence of market investors at home. Right now, the US stock market is worth twice the value of the US economy. It’s a precarious position because most “wealth” ends up being speculation. As of early 2026, the total U.S. stock market capitalization has hit record highs, with the Buffett Indicator (market cap-to-GDP ratio) exceeding 200%, confirming that the market is worth more than twice the nation’s GDP. It becomes a vicious cycle, always trying to leverage another economic bubble. This makes them very desperate in the end, and very dangerous.
- The hegemonic state can cooperate with the successor state (or states). In this case it would be the BRICS coalition and chiefly China-India-Russia. I’m still waiting to see that meeting with Trump, Xi, Modi and Putin. I’m not holding my breath at this point. Sometimes, as was in the case of Portugal and Britain, the wise leaders of those states were able to engineer a soft landing, by cooperating with a similar culture, and vicariously extending their empire for a few more decades. The US has been vacillating between trying to do that with China, and then trying to contain China — for the past 20 years or so. You see that in the contradictory statements of Secretary of State Marco Rubio. He recognizes that the unipolar order is over, but he also wants to fight the multipolar order. It makes no sense. It’s quixotic and schizophrenic. The problem is that China is not a Kin Nation, like Spain and Portugal, America and Britain. So there is a lack of relationship and trust. The country that makes the most amount of sense as a Kin Nation will be Russia. Besides Mexicans, the largest ethnic group of immigrants in America are Russians. Russia also has a very similar history to America. It’s uncannily similar in fact. We are both Christian nations. The problem is that economically, Russia is not a leading GDP nation. Even if you count purchasing power parity, Russia is a distant number four to China, USA, India. And this is why I say that the most common sense thing would be to Trump to cooperate with BRICS, with Putin as a mediator and as a renewed ally. Russia and America have always been friends since the early 1800s with the exception of the Cold War years from 1945 to 1991. And the problem now is that most of our NeoCons have their heads stuck in the 1980s. They foolishly believe the Cold War myth that Russia is our enemy rather than our friend. The end stage of the Empire usually takes about 20 years, with the fastest collapse happening right at the end. Our end game began in 2008. I look for Trump’s planned meeting with Xi at the end of March to be an indicator. If he calls it off due to the Iran quagmire, you can look for a hard crash to happen by 2028. If it does or doesn’t happen, look for subsequent meetings with Modi, Xi, Putin and possibly Trump (or whoever the next president is) meeting together to redraw the world map and agree on spheres of influence in the new multipolar global order — a Yalta 2 to take place in the new banking center of the world in Shanghai or Beijing. In the meantime, Trump is between a rock and a hard place. Either he faces World War 3 with the devastating collapse of the American Empire, or he has to navigate between the old school NeoCons and the truly awakened people who understand the times we’re in. Trump has to appease both groups to find a sane solution. He has to be King Solomon.
One final word. Most people who live through empire collapse are the common people. They don’t understand what’s happening. And unless they are students of history, they don’t even know that they’re living through it. They don’t think that such things are possible. The oligarchs and the deep state bureaucrats also go on believing the Empire will last forever, because they were not alive to see the last time there was such a global shift. But this actually happens all the time in history.